Boston at NY Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on September 26, 2016 in

Baseball’s most celebrated rivalry makes its last appearance in 2016 when the Boston Red Sox head to Yankee Stadium to take on the Pinstripes. The Yankees are once again about to slip out of the postseason race, while the Red Sox have emerged to take the American League East as the season enters its last week. The Red Sox are locked in a battle with the Cleveland Indians and the Texas Rangers for the best record in the American League and home field advantage throughout the postseason, while the Yankees want to play the role of the spoiler against their nemesis. Check out all of our MLB odds for this week.

Here’s a Look at the Boston at NY Yankees Betting Pick, Prediction & TV Info

When: Tuesday, Sept. 27, 7 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium, New York
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio: Boston / New York
Pitching Matchup: David Price (17-8, 3.91 ERA) (BOS) vs Luis Cessa (4-3, 4.30 ERA) (NY)

Why should you bet on the Red Sox?

A lot of the press about the Red Sox pitching staff mentions Rick Porcello’s terrific 2016 campaign and candidacy for the Cy Young Award. However, Price has been just as good, particularly in the second half of the season, posting a 2.78 ERA since August 17. In four of his last five starts, he has lasted at least seven innings, and in his last start, he held the powerful Oriole offense to just three runs in seven innings. In his 218 innings so far this season, the opposition is hitting just .252 against him. The Red Sox also come into this game on an 11-game winning streak, but the clutch nature of the streak is particularly impressive. Four of the wins have featured a one-run margin, and in five of the wins, Boston trailed after five innings. The Yankees only bat .241 against Eastern Division foes this season, making Price’s job a little easier.

Why should you put your money on the Yankees?

A lot of the time teams will play a little down after they clinch a playoff spot, and so the Yankees will hope that Boston is resting on their laurels a little bit during this week. The Red Sox clinched a spot in the playoffs after they won on Saturday, but they still have work to do to clinch the division (and avoid that one-game wild card). Luis Cessa has shown some promise as a back-of-the-rotation starter, going 4-3 in 58 innings, permitting 15 home runs. His last three starts have all led to Yankee losses, but he has not permitted more than three earned runs in any of his starts. The issue is a lack of run support; in his last start against the Rays, he held Tampa Bay to just two runs and fanned six over six frames, but the Yankee offense did not get on the board at all. Cessa can pitch well, so if the Yankee bats get going, the Yanks could win.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I don’t see David Price wilting in what could be his last start of the 2016 regular season, and I don’t see the bats sleeping for the Red Sox yet either. I predict a 6-2 Boston win.