2016 MLB Future Bets Revisited

Posted by Aaron . on June 13, 2016 in

How about the Chicago Cubs? I know it’s a bit early for us to start getting ahead of ourselves regarding the winner of Fall Classic, but the Cubs are looking really good as baseball betting favorites to win the 2016 World Series. Here’s a look at the current MLB-leading Cubs and other teams that are making early noise in the MLB odds to win the various betting lines in the 2016 MLB Futures.

2016 MLB Future Bets Revisited: The Outlook Entering MLB Week 11



National League 2016 MLB Future Betting Favorites

Without doubt, the Cubs are the best team in the league right now, entering Monday with a stellar 43-18 record (which ranks best in the NL Central Division, best in the National League and best in the entire MLB). Put into better perspective of their dominance, Chicago’s +162 differential is nearly 100 points better than that of their closest NL competitors, the Washington Nationals (39-24, +76), and their 9-game lead atop the NL Central is nearly double the number of their closest NL divisional topper (San Francisco leads the NL West by 5 games). Barring any injuries to the team’s top players like Kris Bryant, Jake Arrieta or Anthony Rizzo, the Cubs should thus easily go on to win their divisional title.

That being said and noted, it remains to be seen if the Cubs will be able to beat the tough playoff competition from potential NL’s potential postseason contenders like St. Louis, Washington, San Francisco and LA Dodgers, who are known to up the ante when NL pennant is at sight. Not to forget, the Cubs have their bad playoff history working against them, given they haven’t made it to the Fall Classic since 1945 and haven’t won the World Series since 1908, both records standing as the longest droughts in the MLB. But then again, with no glaring holes in the Chicago team, there could never be a better year for the Cubbies to finally win it all, claiming both the 2016 NL Pennant (at +180 odds) and the 2016 World Series (at +350 odds).

Still in the National League, it worthy of taking note of the San Francisco Giants (+900 odds to win the 2016 World Series) and the Washington Nationals (+1100 odds to win the 2016 World Series. Both the Giants (14th in runs, 17th in batting average) and Nationals (10th in runs, 14th in batting average) have not been at their best offensively so far, but their pitching staffs have played quite splendidly, keeping them in strong contention in their respective divisions and the NL Pennant.

Of the two, I’d say the Nationals are the team to watch, mainly because of their surging offense that is seemingly getting better by the day, led by reigning NL MVP Bryce Harper and star second baseman Daniel Murphy. Meanwhile, Stephen Strasburg and Max Scherzer continue to lead a solid group of pitchers that in the nation’s capital, giving the Nats a solid overall outlook in the race to become the best team in baseball this year.

Nevertheless, you should know better than to sleep of the Giants, winners of three World Series titles in each of the last three even-numbered years (2014, 2012, and 2010); meaning 2016—which an even-numbered year—could be the year for their magical trend to continue. Plus, the talent in San Francisco is tried and proven, including experienced playoff aces like Johnny Cueto, Jeff Samardzija and the ever-dangerous 2014 NLCS and World Series MVP Madison Bumgarner. In the 2016 National League Pennant odds, the Giants are placed second to Chicago with a price of +375, with the Nationals coming third at +500.

National League 2016 MLB Future Betting Sleepers

As far as strong 2016 World Series sleepers are concerned, the defending NL champs, the New York Mets, the ever-lively Los Angeles Dodgers, along with the uprising duo of the Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates, deserve honorable mentions. Unfortunately, all these sleepers have some concerning challenges in the offense or defense, while some lack the star power or postseason experience needed to rise to the occasion come the playoffs. For example, the Mets have arguably the best starting pitching rotations in the league, but their offense has been struggling mightily. Betting on such sleepers should thus be done very precariously.

American League 2016 MLB Future Betting Favorites

The Texas Rangers (39-24) own the best record in the American League, along with the best point differential (+38). A big reason behind the Rangers’ success has been their strong play at home and ability to build on momentums with strong runs (for example, they are 12-3 in their last 15 games entering Monday) plus balanced play in the offense (led by Nomar Mazara) and the defense (led by Cole Hammels). In spite of their success, the Rangers are currently trading at just +1200 in the odds to win the 2016 World Series—coming behind four NL teams (Cubs, Giants, Nationals and Mets) and one AL team (Boston Red Sox). Are the Rangers, who currently lead the NL West by 5 wins, being disrespected? Only time can tell, but at the moment, they definitely look good to go the distance in the 2016 American League Pennant Odds (at +500) and even the 2016 World Series Odds (at +1200).

As is already glimpsed above, the Red Sox are considered as the current odds-on favorites to clinch the 2016 AL Pennant and go all the way to challenge for the 2016 World Series on the shortest odds in the American League. Boston’s price of +900 in the 2016 World Series betting lines comes only second in the entire baseball to Chicago, while +425 odds to win the American league is shorter than that of the Rangers, who are 2.5 games ahead of Boston entering this week. Going by the lines, it appears as the Oddsmakers are high on this year’s Red Sox squad. As the team with the best offense in the nation, it makes tons of sense that many bettors believe the hot and hard-hitting Boston bats can hit the Red Sox out of any problems they will likely face in the playoffs. The problem, though, is that Boston’s pitching has been atrociously bad. In their last 10 games, for example, the Red Sox have allowed a whopping 56 runs (averaging at 5.6 RPG), including allowing 13 and 12 runs in back-to-back games against the Orioles barely two weeks ago. So, even with their solid offense, the Red Sox will need to get their pitching department in order before the postseason starts, or else other teams that can hit it well enough and play better defense will outlast them.

Like Boston, the Baltimore Orioles (who are currently tied with the Red Sox atop the AL East with replica records of 36-26) have seen an upsurge in their offensive performance, but their horrendous pitching has let them down. Better defense will thus be equally needed here if the Orioles are to pose a serious threat in their odds to win the 2016 NL Pennant (at +1000) or even their longshot chance in the 2016 World Series odds (at +2000).

American League 2016 MLB Future Betting Sleepers

Scoping at the rest of the American League, the defending World Series Champs, the Kansas City Royals, along with teams such as the Seattle Mariners, Cleveland Indians, and Toronto Blue Jays look to be strong sleepers to win the AL title en route to a surprising 2016 World Series title bids. Like the earlier-mentioned National League sleepers, these AL teams have quite a number of challenges to deal with. Even so, the Royals—winners of last year’s World Series—are living proof that you don’t have to be a favorite to win the Fall Classic, so don’t shy away from trusting your guts and banking on any of these—or any other—2016 MLB Future sleepers.