Exaggerator Odds For First Preakness-Belmont Sweep Since 2005

Posted by Aaron . on June 3, 2016 in

Did you know that when Exaggerator blew by the rest of the field down the stretch and took the Preakness Stakes, he did something that no horse had done since 1993? It had been that long since a horse finished as the runner-up in the Kentucky Derby and then went on to win at Pimlico, when Prairie Bayou did it. Now he has the chance to do something that has not happened since 2005, when Afleet Alex did not win at Churchill Downs but then took the second and third jewels in the Triple Crown.

What are the chances of this happening? Well, current Belmont Stakes odds have Exaggerator in the favorite spot, sitting with 13-8 odds. So the books and the bettors think that this historic sweep is looking fairly likely. Let’s take a look at some of the other contenders.

Exaggerator Odds For First Preakness-Belmont Sweep Since 2005

 

 

Brody’s Cause (14-1)

He finished in seventh place at the Kentucky Derby, and his trainer gave him the Preakness off. However, he did zip through five furlongs in a brisk 1:01 in a recent workout.

Cherry Wine (10-1)

Everyone was so busy yelling about Exaggerator’s dash down the rail at Pimlico that a lot of people overlooked that fine run that Cherry Wine pulled down the middle of the field, also zipping past Nyquist, who was paying the price for that frantic pace he held out of the gate. The longer distance of the Belmont Stakes could give Cherry Wine to make another room to make a run like that.

Lani (10-1)

A lot of people like to talk about Lani’s oddities, such as the lengthy time he had to spend out on the track before the rain-soaked Preakness. However, his finishes at Churchill Downs (ninth) and Pimlio (fifth) were not bad. He has already done some training runs at Belmont and reports indicate that he did well in the wide turns on that track.

Exaggerator (13-8)

The fifth time was the charm against Nyquist, and we all know how well Exaggerator does down the stretch. The challenge here will be to see if he can manage that big finish on the longer distance (1 ½ miles) at Belmont).

Unified (14-1)

This horse has never lost in three career starts and won the Peter Pan, eking out Governor Malibu. However, the Governor cut the lead down the stretch, which indicates that the 1 ½-mile track at Belmont might be too long for him to hold his pace.

Governor Malibu

Still not a certainty for June 11’s Belmont, he almost caught Unified at the Peter Pan Stakes on May 14. It’s worth noting that Governor Malibu’s trainer, Christophe Clement, used this race to prepare Tonalist in 2014 for Belmont. What happened that year? Tonalist pulled off an upset of California Chrome, who was looking for a Triple Crown of his own in 2014.