2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds & Expert Predictions

Posted by Derrick Harper on April 11, 2019 in

The 2019 Kentucky Derby is beginning to take shape after prep races like the Santa Anita Derby and the Wood Memorial. There are just a few races remaining before the qualifiers take their positions in the starting gates at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 4. Three Bob Baffert-trained horses could be among the top 2019 Kentucky Derby Betting contenders.

Right now, they are three of the favorites according to the latest 2019 Kentucky Derby odds, with Roadster and Game Winner listed at 6-1 and Improbable going off at 11-1. Jason Servis’ Maximum Security is also listed at 6-1 after his impressive run at the Florida Derby. Trainers, jockeys, and owners are all hoping they have the next Justify, who became just the 13th Triple Crown winner ever last year and second this century.

2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds & Expert Predictions

Top Dogs Favorites

The top Kentucky Derby experts are pretty aligned on Game Winner, while most agree that Improbable is likely the top threat to challenge him. Scott Shapiro of TwinSpires.com is one of the few experts out there right now that prefers Improbable, but ranking these two horses first and second right now may suggest neither has that wide of a gap. The odds suggest the same, as Game Winner isn’t an overwhelming favorite at +800, and Improbable is very close behind at +1000.

Experts have also thought highly of horses like Tale of the Union, Roadster, Vekoma, Plus Que Parfait, and Instagrand, which is another reason to either shop around and look for more options or simply wait for updated odds to emerge in the coming months. There is even Mind Control, which may have thrust itself into the Kentucky Derby pool with a big win at the Jerome Stakes on New Year’s Day.

Even if the 2019 Kentucky Derby were tomorrow, and you were scrambling for elite betting value, there would still be a few sleepers to toss some money at. This early in the process, pretty much everyone technically qualifies as such. Game Winner is priced like anything but a locked-in favorite, and as we get closer to the real thing, mere challengers will end up taking on the +800 price tags or worse.

Still, you can think about aiming a bit higher than just attacking the current favorite. Whether that’s a big sleeper that feels incredibly risky or just going with some of the top challengers, of course, is entirely up to you. For now, the big challengers appear to be Improbable, Maximus Mischief, Coliseum, and Mucho Gusto.

Interesting Derby

That leaves out some options with solid odds and also ignores some interesting Kentucky Derby sleepers. And of course, it doesn’t touch on a few viable threats that will probably be included in the horse pool in the coming weeks and months. You can only go off of the information and betting odds that are out there right now, though. If you want to place a bet, and it’s not on Game Winner, these four horses serve as quality challengers that could be worth your time and money.