2019 Kentucky Derby Dark Horses & Long Shots

Posted by Derrick Harper on April 30, 2019 in

On Saturday afternoon, the 2019 Kentucky Derby will take place at Churchill Downs. Over the past 15 years, there have been just 4 horses to win the race that had odds in the double digits. A horse at 15-1 won in 2012, 20-1 won in 2011, 50-1 in 2009, and 50-1 in 2005.

I am going to give you a few horses to keep an eye on that have a chance to shock the horse racing betting world on Saturday.

2019 Kentucky Derby Dark Horses & Long Shots

Code of Honor in the Mix

I will start off with a mid-range longshot. I really like Code of Honor at 14-1 odds. He is being ridden by hall of fame rider John Velazquez. This will be Velazquez’ 21st Kentucky Derby and he has won it twice, once in 2011 at Animal Kingdom who was 20-1 to win and another time in 2017 aboard Always Dreaming.

Code of Honor has not been spectacular in 2019, but he did earn a victory at the Fountain of Youth Stakes and he recorded a 3rd place finish at the Florida Derby on March 30th.

Good Value Bet

The second horse that caught my eye was Spinoff who comes in at 30-1. He is being ridden by Manny Franco who is 1 of 2 jockeys under the age of 25. He has raced in the Kentucky Derby just 1 time in 2015 and finished in 17th place.

However, he is being trained by Todd Pletcher who is one of the most successful trainers in the game to go along with Bob Baffert. Pletcher has trained 2 of the past 9 Kentucky Derby winners and will look for another one here. Spinoff has won 2 of his 4 career races and is coming off a 2nd place finish in the Louisiana Derby on March 23rd.

Longshots for the 2019 Kentucky Derby

Getting down to the major longshots we have Country House who is currently sitting at 80-1. He is being ridden by the young Flavien Prat who has been successful in big races in his career. This will be his 3rd derby appearance with his best finish being a 3rd place finish in 2017. He won the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint in 2016 and the Las Vegas Dirt Mile in 2017.

Country House has won just 1 race in his career out of 6 races but has had some good results recently in some bigger races against other Derby horses. He placed 3rd in the Arkansas Derby on April 13th and recorded a 4th place finish at the Louisiana Derby back in March. If Country House is going to win, it is going to be a late push similar to that of Mine That Bird back in 2009.

Another 80-1 horse that appears to have an outside chance of making a push is Haikal. He is being ridden by Rajiv Maragh who will be riding in his 6th derby with his best finish being a 3rd place finish back in 2011.

Maragh has had success in big races as he has won the Breeders’ Cup race 4 times in his career. Haikal has won 3 out of 5 career races with those wins coming against lesser competition. In his most recent race, he took a step up in competition and faced derby horses in the Wood Memorial and recorded a respectful 3rd place finish.