2019 Belmont Stakes Props

Posted by Derrick Harper on June 4, 2019 in

Here are a few of our favorite prop bets for the 2019 Belmont Stakes.

2019 Belmont Stakes Props

Winner of the Race

Analysis: Considered both Tacitus and War of Will have experienced success, the -130 number if warranted.  However, strange things happen in the Belmont Stakes.  Given the length of the race (1.5 miles) and the configuration of the track with its long sweeping turns, anything can happen.  The race has produced Triple Crown winners such as Justify and American Pharoah and longshot bombs such as Da’Tara and Sarava.  To that end, the play here is to take the field at +180.  Although not overly accomplished, there are horses in the field that have run against solid competition and will be ridden by jockeys that have been in big spots before.

Who Will Finish Higher

Analysis: The way to approach this prop is to analyze each horse’s weaknesses and vulnerabilities and not necessarily their strengths.  War of Will has been through the ringer and in fact is the only horse going postward Saturday that has danced all three Triple Crown dances.  That makes Mark Casse’s colt vulnerable in that the Belmont is a grueling test.  Granted there won’t be a crazy hot pace but getting that last furlong could prove problematic for War of Will.  Tacitus is fresh, well rested and under the care of one of racing’s best conditioners.  His running style and breeding suggests that he can certainly get the 12 furlongs and he looms a serious win threat.  The play is Tacitus -110 to finish higher than War of Will.

Final Position of Master Fencer

Analysis: Master Fencer (JPN) was once thought of as the wiseguy horse in this spot.  However, a suspect workout in which he could’ve taken a bad step is a cause for concern.  The horse is somewhat bred to go the distance and his 6th place Kentucky Derby finish is nothing to sneeze at.  Julien Leparoux is a capable handler and the horse has remained stateside since the Run for the Roses eliminating any concern of travel fatigue.  With the positives and the negatives all taken into consideration, this is a tough call.  The play here is Master Fencer under 4.5.

Final Position of Everfast

Sometimes in gambling, bettors need to look for value.  Everfast is a proven commodity, he has demonstrated the ability to close.  True, the horse is allergic to winning having won just once in his career but he figures to be flying late.  Couple of questions to ponder: does he have enough to get the distance, will Luis Saez be able to ration his speed to have enough at the end?  Secondly, will there be enough early pace and if there isn’t will Saez be able to send that and place his colt in a good position instead of laying back in hopes of the race falling apart and coming late to pick up pieces.  This is a tough wager but the play here is Everfast under 3.5.