2016 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Picks

Posted by Aaron . on June 10, 2016 in

This year’s edition of the Belmont Stakes race will probably not be as hyped as the one we had in 2015, given that Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist finished third in the Preakness Stakes, bringing an end to the hopes of a second successive Triple Crown winner after American Pharoah won it all last year. Even so, there are still many ways you can maximize your fun and potential payouts in the 2016 Belmont Stakes odds. One of such ways is the popular betting strategy of Trifecta wagering, which we will be explaining below, including how you can aptly apply it in the 13-horse field at Belmont this coming weekend.

2016 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Picks

 

 

Trifecta Betting in Horseracing

Simply put, a Trifecta bet refers to a proposition wager that requires you to pick the exact order of the first three horses in the race. When you use a ‘boxed’ option in your trifecta, as is commonly done by bettors who love this exotic wagering method, it essentially means that you take every combination possible for the bet to guarantee a payout.

For example, if you like Exaggerator, Stradivari and Destin for your Trifecta betting in the Belmont Stakes lines but you are not sure about who will win; you can box the three horses in a Trifecta, which will guarantee you a win as long as these horses finish 1-2-3.

2016 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Odds and Picks

Preliminarily, it is worth noting that rest plays a very critical role in the 1½-mile gallop in Belmont. Put into perspective, American Pharoah is the only horse in the last 10 years to ever win this race after running in both the Derby and Preakness. Also, there have been just 5 horses in the last 16 years that have won the Belmont Stakes on less than 4 weeks of rest. With just 3 weeks of rest between the Preakness and Belmont, the horses selected for the Trifecta picks should preferably be well-rested.

Post positions, jockeys and trainers also play a crucial role when picking on your candidates for a winning Trifecta. All that being noted, here are some elementary details you should take note of before we delve into our 2016 Belmont Stakes Trifecta betting picks.

Post Positions, Horses and Trainers of 2016 Belmont Stakes

1—Governor Malibu (Christophe Clement)
2—Destin (Todd Pletcher)
3—Cherry Wine (Dale L. Romans)
4—Suddenbreakngnews (Donnie K. Von Hemel)
5—Stradivari (Todd Pletcher)
6—Gettysburg (Steven Asmussen)
7—Seeking The Soul (Dallas Stewart)
8—Forever d’Oro (Dallas Stewart)
9—Trojan Nation (Patrick Gallagher)
10—Lani (Miko Matsunaga)
11—Exaggerator (Keith Desormeaux)
12—Brody’s Cause  (Dale L. Romans)
13—Creator (Steven Asmussen

Here’s Why Exaggerator Should be Your Key in Belmont Stakes Trifecta

Now, as far as our Trifecta Picks for the Belmont Stakes are concerned, our key horse will be Exaggerator, based on the following reasons. For starters, Exaggerator—the sophomore son of Curlin—is the No. 7 Horse in the world in the Longines Best Horse Rankings, a pedigree he matched up to by finishing second in the Derby, followed by a first-place finish in the Preakness. If only he had finished first at the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 7, we could have actually been talking about a second straight Triple Crown winner this weekend.

All is not lost, though, as Exaggerator can still finish first in the Belmont, joining and elite club of horses to win two of the three Triple Crown races. And to ascertain his potential, Exaggerator has been performing quite well in his workouts. On Tuesday morning, for example, Exaggerator reportedly covered 5 furlongs in 1:00 4/5 on a Fast Track and looked good at the workout at Belmont, giving bettors a glimpse of what he could do on Saturday.

Moreover, the highest average Beyer Speed Figure posted this year by 3-year-old thoroughbreds came from Exaggerator, which was 103 Beyer in Santa Anita Derby in April. He also did post a 101 Beyer in Kentucky Derby. Compared to the 13-horse field in Belmont, only two other horses posted a Beyer of 100 or more this year—the Todd Pletcher-trained duo of Stradivari with a 100 at Keeneland on April 17 at 1 1/8 miles and Destin with a 100 at Tampa Bay Downs on at 1 1/16 miles on March 12.

And above everything else, Saturday’s race in New York may be run in some pretty muddy and wet conditions if the Weather forecasts ahead of the race are true. After the Preakness featured more-or-less similar conditions, and Exaggerator used his stamina pull away from the pack down the stretch for a win, doing the same from the Empire State should be within the strong realms of possibility.

Obviously, having raced in all the first two legs of the Triple Crown may come as a small disadvantage for Exaggerator in terms of fatigue, but going by his pedigree and the manner in which he has absolutely amazing in the first two races against tough odds; you’d be a fool to simply use the rest factor to discount him here. After all, most of his top competitors participated in the Preakness as well. And even if that doesn’t factor much, American Pharoah did win all the three races with little rest, so there’s no big reason why the strong Exaggerator can’t come up big at Belmont.

Selecting the Remaining Trifecta Candidates

With Exaggerator’s name on our board, we need two more horses to complete our Belmont Stakes Trifecta. Logically, the speedy duo of Stradivari and Destin, who are both conditioned by Hall-of-Fame Trainer Todd Pletcher, make the easiest of choices. With both of these horses rested better than Exaggerator, they are sure guarantees to perform well in the Belmont, even with the possibility of upsetting Exaggerator. That being said, Destin hasn’t been the biggest of performers in recent times, making him a bit of a risky pick, unlike the proven Stradivari who has won two of his last three races.

So which of the remaining horses can we slot in the third option instead of Destin? Looking at the rest of the field, I feel Cherry Wine would make a perfect fit. He may not be a fast runner like Exaggerator, Stradivari or Destin, but he has a lot of stamina and has a good-enough closing speed that could come in handy on Saturday. Cherry Wine’s second-place finish in the Preakness, which clearly showcased his zestfulness and strong racing spirit, makes him our preferred third pick.

The remaining field should not be slept on, as the likes of Suddenbreakngnews, Governor Malibu and Creator could be due for big performances. However, there’s just so much we can say before we make our picks, and we strongly believe that Exaggerator, Stradivari and Cherry Wine offer the best 2016 Belmont Stakes Trifecta picks.

Recommended 2016 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Picks

#1 Exaggerator, #S2tradivari, #3 Cherry Wine OR #1 Exaggerator, #2 Cherry Wine, #3Stradivari