2016 Belmont Stakes Betting Odds, Preview and Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on June 3, 2016 in

What a Party Pooper! Riding on the reputation of his stellar undefeated career racing record, which included a victory in the 2016 Kentucky Derby, everyone was high on Nyquist winning the Preakness Stakes to keep alive the hopes of a second straight Triple Crown winner at the Belmont Stakes. That wasn’t to be, as Nyquist finished third in the 2016 Preakness Stakes, bringing an anticlimax to the hopes of many online sportsbooks horse racing enthusiasts.

All is, however, not lost, as we still have the Belmont Stakes to look forward to. With a little over one week to go before we get to see the final leg of the Triple Crown, a few things could change here and there in terms of fielding and the 2016 Belmont Stakes odds. But as things stand currently, here are the key things you need to know in regards to betting on the 148th edition of the Belmont Stakes.

2016 Belmont Stakes Betting Odds, Preview and Analysis

When: Saturday, June 11, 2016, 5:00 PM ET
Where: Belmont Park Race Track, Elmont, NY
Length of Track: 1 ½ miles
TV Broadcast: NBC



2016 Belmont Stakes Betting Lines

  • Exaggerator: +110
  • Suddenbreakingnews: +650
  • Cherry Wine: +750
  • Stradivari: +750
  • Destin: +1000
  • Brody’s Cause: +1200
  • Lani: +1200
  • Unified: +1400
  • Creator: +2000

Quick Bites on the Belmont Stakes

  • There have been 20 winners (horses) in the Belmont Stakes whose named started with the letter C, more popular than any other first initial. In this year’s edition we have Creator and Cherry Wine starting with C.
  • The Belmont Stakes has been decided three times by a nose, most recently when Victory Gallop beat Real Quiet in 1998 to deny him a Triple Crown win.
  • The betting favorite has won the Belmont Stakes sixty-two times, equal to 42 percent of the time. The current favorite is Exaggerator, winner of the 2016 Preakness Stakes
  • Nyquist won’t even get to run in the 2016 Belmont Stakes due to a high white blood cell count. A couple of other horses (like Gun Runner0 have also pulled out of the race due to various reasons.
  • Check out this link for more on Belmont Stakes History

Betting on the Best 2016 Belmont Stakes Favorites

Exaggerator (+110)

After narrowly missing out on the win at Churchill Downs to Nyquist, Exaggerator proved his worth by making the necessary adjustments to his running to win the Preakness in Baltimore. His biggest strength, as we’ve seen in in the two legs of the Triple Crown so far, is his ability to hang with the leading pack and close out races strongly. After faring solidly in the fairly long 1 ¼ miles of the Kentucky Derby, doing well in the 1 ½ miles of the Belmont Stakes shouldn’t be a biggie. As a concern, though, Exaggerator has run all three Triple Crown races, so he may be exhausted in the long course in New York, and that could affect his performance regressively.

Suddenbreakingnews (+650)

Sitting out of the Preakness after finishing fifth in the Kentucky Derby will be the biggest advantage for Suddenbreakingnews at the Belmont. Like Exaggerator, he likes to sit close to the leading pack, before busting out with speed in the final stages of the race for strong finishes, making him a colt worth watching. More notably, Suddenbreakingnews will be ridden by Mike Smith, a jockey who is familiar with the track in New York, offering him a solid chance for an upset on June 11th.

Cherry Wine (+750)

After missing out on the Derby at Churchill Downs, Cherry Wine came in fresh at the Preakness and used his known strength and composure to finish second behind Exaggerator. As a Cherry on top of his rest at the Derby, this colt has placed in the top four in each of his last five races run of one or more miles. But the Belmont will be the longest race he’ll have in his career. Even so, the Belmont Stakes will be the longest race of his career, so it remains to be seen if he will manage a top-4 or better finish.

Betting on the Best 2016 Belmont Stakes Sleepers

Lani (+1200)

Lani, the Koji Maeda’s UAE Derby (UAE-II) winner, offers some decent value as a sleeper, especially if he can get ahead of the pack at the Belmont and maintain his pace. Lani will be joining Exaggerator as the only two Belmont Stakes runners to compete in all three legs of the Triple Crown, so fatigue could be an issue. Nonetheless, he finished at No. 9 in the Kentucky Derby and fifth in the Preakness, showing an improvement in his positioning that could mean a top-3 or better finish at the Belmont.

Creator (+2000)

During the Kentucky Derby, Creator found it hard to deal with the crowded field, so the less-crowded Belmont Stakes will be a welcome avenue for him to flaunt his speed and strong closer skills. Like Suddenbreakingnews, he did rest for the Preakness, so he should be energized for the final leg. Notably, he will have a jockey change for the Belmont Stakes from Ricardo Santana Jr. to Irad Ortiz Jr., a rider who is reputably more familiar with the New York circuit.

My Favorite 2016 Belmont Stakes Pick: Suddenbreakingnews (+650)

My Sleeper 2016 Belmont Stakes Pick: Creator (+2000)