NASCAR Xfinity Series: Ag-Pro 300 Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on April 22, 2021 in

NASCAR Xfinity Series returns to action on Saturday, April 24, after an off-weekend for the Ag-pro 300 at Talladega Superspeedway. The 300-mile race will mark the eighth race of the series, which is annually held before the NASCAR Cup Series race – the GEICO 250. Let’s have a closer look at the upcoming race so you can bet against their NASCAR odds.

NASCAR Xfinity Series Betting Preview for the 2021 Ag-Pro 300

The race itself is notorious for large wrecks involving 20+ cars, which have happened numerous times throughout its history. Most recently, in 2002, when 30 cars were involved in an accident, resulting in a two-car race between Jason Keller and Stacy Compton, with the former claiming the checkered flag.

The most recent Ag-pro 300 spring race was postponed from April 25 to June 20, marking the first time since 1996 that the race was held in summer. Justin Haley won that race, adding his third straight restrictor-plate track win, and finished the season in third.

Due to there being no qualifying this weekend, 43 drivers entered for 40 spots. Unfortunately, Andy Lally, Jordan Anderson, and Ronnie Bassett Jr. won’t make the race.

In today’s free NASCAR Xfinity Series betting preview, we take a look at three drivers everyone should keep an eye on. Here are our selections for the Ag-pro 300.

Justin Haley

Justin Haley enters the race as the 2020 champion and one of the most in-form Xfinity Series drivers. After a poor start of the season, finishing in 29th in Daytona, Haley has put together five top-10 finishes in the next six races.

The only race where Haley finished outside the top-10 since Daytona was the Call 811 Before You Ding 200 in Phoenix. Although a solid record on paper, Haley hasn’t won a single race in 2021 – including in the NASCAR Cup Series, where he hasn’t finished better than 24th.

What’s more, Haley hasn’t won a race since the last Ag-Pro 300 at the end of the last season. Regardless, Haley has shown enough for us to see him as a strong contender for a top-five finish.

Austin Cindric

The current Xfinity Series frontrunner Austin Cindric enters the AG-pro 300 as the man to beat. Last year, he finished the race in 34th (DNF), marking his worst finish since 2018 (30th).

Despite his unfortunate run in the second Ag-pro 300 race of the season, Cindric managed a fourth-place finish in spring and already has a fifth-place finish from 2019.

Cindric enters the weekend race with two wins from Daytona and Phoenix, as well as three top-five finishes from Super Start Batteries 188, Contender Boats 250, and Alsco Uniforms 300.

Outside of his 13th-place finish at EchoPark 250, Cindric hasn’t placed worse than sixth this season. And if that doesn’t show strong form, nothing does.

Daniel Hemric

The Joe Gibbs Racing driver, Daniel Hemric, hasn’t done as well as Cindric this season, but his performances are nothing to sneeze at. He has picked up four top-three in seven races of the season and hasn’t placed worse than ninth besides his 23rd place finish in Phoenix.

Hemric is a driver that could easily fly under the radar for this race due to what seems like a poor season in 2020. Last year he placed 17th in NASCAR Xfinity Series with 555 points; however, he had to skip 11 races.

In races he has finished, Hemric locked in seven top-five finishes, in addition to 12 top-10. In other words, he placed worse than the top-10 in only 9/21 races.

What’s more, Hemric finished fifth in last year’s race, which was the best placement of his career. Can he improve upon that performance this year is anyone’s guess, but with the form he has been showing, it’s hard not to be optimistic about the 30-year-old.