NASCAR Cup Series: FireKeepers Casino 400 Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on August 20, 2021 in

The FireKeepers Casino 400 is slated for Sunday, August 22, and it will mark the 25th race of the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series season. The race will take place at the Michigan International Speedway, where Kevin Harvick celebrated a doubleheader weekend victory in 2020.

MyBookie brings you a free NASCAR Cup Series betting preview for the penultimate race of the season, where we take a look at the main contenders and provide you with all the information you’ll ever need to place bets against their NASCAR Betting Odds.

NASCAR Betting Preview – FireKeepers Casino 400

Kevin Harvick (+1600)

A year has passed since Harvick won the doubleheader in Michigan, and a lot has changed. The Stewart-Haas driver who looked dominant in 2020 returns to Michigan winless in 2021, and truth be told, he hasn’t looked like a serious contender throughout this summer.

Regardless, Harvick has five career victories on this track, which included the past three straight. What’s more, Harvick has won here in four of his last five visits, making it very difficult to look past the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series regular-season champion.

Still, it’s tough to be bullish on Harvick, given his recent results. Although he is consistent, having secured 16 top-10 finishes on the season, he hasn’t come close to winning the race since 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350, when he placed fourth.

 It’s also fair to mention that Harvick has led just 66 laps since Darlington in May; all of those 66 laps came in July at New Hampshire. While we are doubtful about Harvick and his chances to win this weekend, he does come off as a solid bet for a top-three finish.

Kyle Busch (+650)

If there is one thing Michigan International Speedways is known for, it’s for being a horsepower track. Historically, the drivers who had strong performance under the hood delivered, and it’s fair to assume this race won’t be any different.

Kyle Busch finished second and first on the Pocono, to which he added a runner-up finish in Atlanta, where he could have won had he not been blocked late in the race. 

The 36-year-old travels to Michigan with 796 points on the season, which is good for a third-place in the standings, below Kyle Larson (953) and Denny Hamlin (931). Regardless, Busch has looked solid of late and finished outside of the top-seven only once across his last five starts.

 Looking back, Busch has always been solid in Michigan and hasn’t finished worse than sixth once since 2017. During that stretch, he has managed; fourth, third, fifth, sixth, fifth, and fourth.

Busch is priced at +650 to win Sunday’s race which is a great price given his past success and definitely a pick worth looking at.

Joey Logano (+1000)

Joey Logano has three Michigan victories; however, he hasn’t been too impressive of late. Like his Penske teammate, Brad Keselowski, Logano struggled to deliver and has managed only one top-five finish across the last eight races.

His best performance of the year came at the 2021 Food City Dirt Race, which he won. He has since put up two third-place finishes, two fourth-place finishes, and one fifth-place finish. His most recent notable success came at the 2021 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301, where he placed fourth.

On a more positive note, Logano has managed an eighth and fifth-place finish here last year and won the first Michigan race in 2019. Regardless, it’s hard to have much confidence in the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series champion.