Formula 1 Predictions: Pirelli British GP Betting Preview

Posted by Derrick Harper on July 31, 2020 in

Formula One World Championship is set to return to England this Sunday, August 2, for the 75th iteration of the Pirelli British GP. The race will be held at the historic Silverstone Circuit, also known as the Home of British Motor Racing, where the crowd’s favorite Lewis Hamilton will be chasing his seventh career win. Let’s take a closer look at at this upcoming race so you can make your bets against their Formula 1 odds.

F1 Pirelli British Grand Prix Betting Preview

The Silver Arrows leading the charge

The Silver Arrows has set an incredible pace for the 2020 season and with that made sure the remaining drivers had to realign their season’s ambitions, and not in a positive way.

In three races so far this season, Mercedes picked up three gold medals, one silver and one bronze medal with Valtteri Bottas winning the opening race of the season at the Red Bull Ring, a runner-up finish at the same venue the in the next race, and a third-place finish in Hungary. His teammate Lewis Hamilton, however, had to settle for an unfortunate fourth-place finish in the Austrian Grand Prix due to a five-second penalty but did not need long to take over the control of the 2020 season with back-to-back victories at the Steiermark and Hungarian Grand Prix.

And its not only the strong driving skills of the British-Finish duo that has earned Mercedes a 66 points-lead ahead of Red Bull in the 2020 constructors standings but also the upgrades they have made on their cars. To put it into a perspective, the current Mercedes machines are 10 seconds faster compared to the early hybrid era six years ago, and while it may not seem like it, the numbers don’t lie.

On the other end of the spectrum are Ferrari, who had to give up a lot of their power and speed on the straights due to the stricter regulations, whereas Red Bull seemingly dug their own hole with aero set-up, which does not do them any favors. While there is still hope for Red Bull who are sitting second in the constructor standings (55 points), the Prancing Horses have fallen down to fifth with only 27 points to their name.

Who can outperform Hamilton?

Lewis Hamilton has already won the 2020 Steiermark Grand Prix and the most recent Hungarian Grand Prix, and would on top of that have claimed a second-place finish at the Austrian Grand Prix had he not collided with Alexander Albon.

There is no denying the six-time world champion is in an excellent form and the fact that he won in Hungary with over eight-second margin ahead of Verstappen (+8.702s) only further proves the Brit will be difficult to defeat on his home soil.

Hamilton has won the Pirelli British GP six times already (2008, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018), making him the most successful driver at the Silverstone Circuit, one win ahead of his compatriot Jim Clark and Alain Prost, both of whom won the race five times apiece.

Based on what we have seen this season, there are really only two drivers who can compete with Hamilton and those are his teammate Bottas and the Red Bulls’ Verstappen. The latter has finished second in Hungary despite the crash that damaged his front win and suspension, which is a praiseworthy achievement and a clear sign he is building on his best year in 2019.

Last season, Verstappen finished third in the Formula One world championship and it’s hard to argue he is the primary and possibly the only non-Mercedes driver who can challenge Hamilton. Verstappen also has three top-five finishes at Silverstone and has managed a runner-up finish in 2016, before his fourth-place finish in 2017, DNF (15th) in 2018 and a fifth-place finish last year.
Esteban Ocon could impress

Esteban Ocon is ranked 13th in the drivers’ standings and while he has yet to claim a podium finish this season, the Frenchman has achieved eighth in the opening race and 14th in Hungary. Ocon has made two appearances at the Silverstone throughout his career and finished eighth in 2017 and seventh in 2018, which puts his average finish at an impressive 7.5.

The sample size of Ocon’s races is rather small, so it’s hard to overvalue his 7.5 average, albeit it’s hard to ignore his impressive driving in where he started 14th on the grid. Wining here will still likely be out of his reach, however, a top-10 should not be too hard to achieve.