Updated 2019 F1 Odds for Driver’s Championship – April 19th Edition

Posted by Aaron . on April 19, 2019 in

Mercedes have won the Formula One Drivers’ and Constructors’ titles in each of the last five seasons, but might 2019 finally be the year their reign comes to an end? The bookies’ F1 odds make them odds-on favorite, but not as solidly as in previous years.

Lewis Hamilton beat Ferrari’s Sebastian Vettel to claim his fifth driver’s championship last year, but Vettel and Ferrari got closer to Mercedes than any team has been able to since the switch the current engine format in 2014. Let’s take a look at the latest Formula 1 Odds for the 2019 Championship.

Updated 2019 F1 Odds for Driver’s Championship – April 19th Edition

Familiar at Top

Mercedes finished 275 or more points clear of their nearest challengers in each of the first three seasons under those regulations, but Ferrari cut the gap to 146 in 2017 and then down to just 84 last time. The ownership of the fastest package varied throughout the year, but Ferrari was the first team to be genuinely competitive with Mercedes over a full season.

New front-wing regulations have been brought in for the 2019 season. These are aimed at reducing the dirty air behind cars that makes following them closely enough to overtake a difficult task. This change provides further opportunity to make gains for both Ferrari and other teams. Mercedes are likely to experience their hardest fight yet in keeping their run of triumphs going.

Mercedes will again field Hamilton and Valtteri Bottas this year, but there are changes at the two other top teams. At Ferrari, young charger Charles Leclerc has parlayed a stellar debut season at Sauber into a place alongside Vettel. At Red Bull, Daniel Ricciardo’s departure to Renault created a gap alongside Max Verstappen that Pierre Gasly has been promoted from Toro Rosso to fill.

Red Bull Moving In

Red Bull are the only team other than Ferrari and Mercedes to have won a race over the course of the last five seasons. This year, they will run Honda engines after being sufficiently impressed with its performance in the Toro Rosso last year to make the move themselves. Early signs have been good, but it remains to be seen whether the package will prove competitive and reliable enough to maintain a season-long challenge to Mercedes and Ferrari.

To this point though, there should be no surprise that Lewis Hamilton is the favorite with odds that stack up at 8/13. For the most part, there are five serious contenders for the championship, no matter what experts are telling you. Sebastian Vettel is the primary challenger to Hamilton, with 5/1 odds currently.

After Vettel, it is the newcomer, Charles LeClerc with 6/1 odds. Behind him, Hamilton’s teammate, Valtteri Bottas comes in with 6/1 at the F1 Odds. Finally, of the real contenders, comes Max Verstappen with 33/1 odds. Beyond this grouping, the odds are what I would describe as longshots. The odds jump to 500/1 with Pierre Gasly and get more and more far fetched from there.

Expert Prediction

If I had to guess it right now, I’d say it will be one of the top 5 drivers to hoist the trophy at the end of it all this season, with particularly better odds to the Mercedes racing team members. They’ve been on top of the racing world for so long now that it is tough for me to imagine someone else at the podium.