2019 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Odds, Preview & Expert Prediction

Posted by Derrick Harper on November 29, 2019 in

All good things come to an end and Formula 1 is no exception to that rule, seeing how we are only days away from Abu Dhabi Grand Prix – the final race of the 2019 F1 season, which is set to take place on December 1, 2019, at the Yas Marina Circuit located at Yas Island in United Arab Emirates.

The 2019 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix will mark the 11th running of the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix and the 11th time the race will be run as a World Championship event since the inaugural season in 1950. The said race will take place on Yas Marina Circuit, which opened its gates in October 2009 and hosted its inaugural Grand Prix event less than a month later as a part of 2009 Formula One season.

The first race held at the venue was won by Sebastian Vettel, while he was still driving for Red Bull. Vettel managed to recapture his form a year later when he won the race for the second consecutive time and added his third win at the track in 2013.

That said, it’s Lewis Hamilton who is the winningest driver in the history of Abu Dhabi Grand Prix with four victories (2011, 2014, 2016, 2018). Other drivers who took the checkered flag in Abu Dhabi are Kimi Raikkonen (2012), Nico Rosberg (2015) and Valtteri Bottas (2017).

Despite already winning the title of 2019 World Champion, Lewis Hamilton will head into this race looking to repeat his success from last year when he finished ahead of Sebastian Vettel and Max Verstappen.

That said, we have to ask ourselves: will his sense of security, knowing he has nothing to lose, prevent him from doing his best to win, or will his hunger to go down in history as one of the greats push him to his fifth victory at the Yas Marina Circuit?

Let’s take a look at the latest F1 Odds while making some predictions.

2019 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Odds, Preview & Expert Prediction

Lewis Hamilton – Odds: 2.50

Despite having already clinched the 2019 Formula One Driver’ title, Lewis Hamilton is still priced as a favourite to win the 2019 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix and it’s easy to see why. He has been a force to be reckoned with this season from the very start when he won eight out of his first 10 races, which helped him take over the control of the Drivers’ Standings. That said, he has won only two out of his last eight races, which suggests he has cooled down a bit as he looks forward to a well-deserved vacation.

Looking back at last three races, Hamilton won in Mexico, finished second in the United States and claimed the seventh-place finish in Brazil. By finishing seventh in Brazil, Hamilton has raised some concerns whether he really has the needed drive to win here, but we have to consider one thing. Last season Hamilton clinched the title in Brazil and went on to win in Abu Dhabi to finish the season strong and there is a reason to believe he will look to do the same here.

Charles Leclerc – Odds: 3.50

Charles Leclerc is entering this weekend’s race ranked fourth in the 2019 Drivers Standings, 11 points behind Verstappen and 19 points ahead of Vettel.

In his last three races, Leclerc finished fourth in Mexico and in the United States but failed to do the same in Brazil. There he was forced to retire from the race after colliding with his teammate Sebastian Vettel in a very dramatic way, which added some oil to the fire that has been burning bright between the two racers.

Leclerc finished seventh in the 2018 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix and will look to improve that here. He has won two races this season and finished sixth or higher in seven out of his last nine races. Furthermore, Leclerc has nine podium finishes this season.

Max Verstappen – Odds: 4.33

Max Verstappen is priced as the third favourite heading into his fifth race at Abu Dhabi. He is currently ranked third in the Drivers Standings behind Bottas and Hamilton and he will look to retain that spot here.

Max Verstappen is coming into the final race of the season following a spectacular performance in Brasil, where he clinched his third win of the season and his first in Brasil. In Abu Dhabi, Verstappen never won before with his best result coming last season, when he finished third. That said, he has finished in the top five in three out of four races at Yas Marina Circuit and in 16 out of 20 races this season overall.

This will be a race where Max Verstappen will look to impress, as a simple mistake could cost him the third-place finish in the final standings. Leclerc is barely 11 points behind him, meaning Verstappen must finish on the podium to guarantee he finishes above Leclerc.

Valtteri Bottas – Odds: 21.00

Valtteri Bottas is priced at very generous odds to win here and it’s not too hard to figure out why. With Hamilton, Leclerc, Verstappen and Vettel all in the race, Bottas’ chances to win here are slim, yet we can’t underestimate him too much.

Valtteri Bottas is currently sitting at the second spot in the Drivers Standings with 314 points next to his name, meaning he is guaranteed to finish the season with a silver medal.

Looking back at his last three races, Bottas finished third in Mexico, first in the United States and had to retire in Brazil due to engine failure. Despite that, the 30-year old Finn is enjoying his best season so far, claiming four races along the way. He has a total of 15 podium finishes this season and has finished in the top five in 18 out of 20 races. In Abu Dhabi, Bottas won in 2017 and finished fifth last year.

Prediction

As talked about above, Hamilton is rightfully the favourite here as we do not believe he will slow down for anyone, despite already securing the title. His goal is not to only win championships, but to become one of the best there ever was, which is why we are confident saying he still has that competitive fire in him to claim the top podium in Abu Dhabi and set the pace for the next season.

As far as other racers are concerned, we believe Max Verstappen should not be underestimated either. He, much like Hamilton, will look to make a statement after claiming the win in Brazil. As mentioned, a top-three finish will be his ultimate goal, yet there is a reason to believe he can push for more.

Last but not least, we have to address our darkhorse pick – Valtteri Bottas, who is priced very generously to claim a podium (4.33). He has proven his prowess time and time again throughout the season and while the competition is very tough, Bottas is more than capable of finishing the season strong.